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- Bitcoin Has Seen This Pattern Before — And What Followed Was Massive
Bitcoin Has Seen This Pattern Before — And What Followed Was Massive
Previous boom-and-bust cycles ended with new highs. Is this one different?


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🕒 Market Overview: While Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, and COIN, a leading platform that facilitates custody and transactions, face both bullish and bearish factors, the recent price action suggests another boom period could be on the horizon.
If the boom-and-bust price action in cryptocurrencies is shifting from bust to boom, COIN shares could take off on the upside. The 1:733 risk-reward ratio is attractive, and the short $400 strike price is over $40 below COIN’s record high of $444.64 from July 2025.
📈 Sector Insight: COIN is a highly liquid stock. At around $206 per share, COIN had a market cap of $57.2 billion. COIN trades an average of over 10 million shares per day. If Bitcoin is heading for a new high, COIN will likely follow. The January 15, 2027, COIN $300-$400 vertical bull call spread at $12 has an attractive risk-reward ratio.
💡 Today's Trade Idea: Bull Call Spread on COIN.
💡 SMART TRADE IDEA
A bull call spread in COIN could pay off big time
Trade Setup: Buy $300 Call / Sell $400 Call, January 15, 2027, expiration.
Cost: $12.00 ($1,200 per spread)
Max Profit: $88.00 ($8,800 per spread)
Breakeven: $310.00 on COIN on January 15, 2027
Risk-reward: 1:7.33
Management Plan: Roll up or take profits if COIN reaches $350 per share before January 15, 2027.
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NOTE: Remember, options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Consider your investment objectives, financial resources, and experience level before implementing this or any options strategy.
DISCLOSURE: Trade recommendations may have changed since publication. Evaluate current market prices and risk/reward before acting. Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for everyone. This is not personalized investment advice. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Publisher and contributors may hold positions in recommended securities. Readers assume full responsibility for their trading decisions. Consult a financial professional before investing.
![]() | Andy Hecht | Smart AnalysisA Wall Street veteran and analyst covering technical and fundamental factors in markets across all asset classes for over four decades. |

What Bitcoin’s Historical Cycles May Be Signaling Now
After bursting on the scene a decade and a half ago, Bitcoin has had a history of boom-and-bust price action. Bitcoin has been one of the most volatile assets in history, rising from 5 cents per token in 2010 to an incredible $126,184.05 on October 6, 2025.
Bitcoin has corrected from that lofty level, and now that the leading cryptocurrency’s price has stabilized, it could be the perfect time to consider adding Bitcoin exposure to your portfolio.
Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) is a leading cryptocurrency platform that tracks Bitcoin prices. COIN exposure could be a valuable and liquid proxy to consider.
Bitcoin could be breaking out

Source: Barchart
The weekly chart shows that Bitcoin declined 52% from $126,184.05 on October 6, 2026, to a low of $60,514.55 on February 2, 2026. While Bitcoin more than halved in value, the substantial correction was nothing new for the leading cryptocurrency, which traded at 5 cents per token in 2010. Other notable corrections took Bitcoin 84% lower from December 2017 to December 2018, 77.5% lower from November 2021 to November 2022, 32.4% lower from March 2024 to August 2024, and 31.7% lower from January 2025 to April 2025.
Since the early February 2026 low, Bitcoin has made higher lows and higher highs, reaching $82,812.95 in May, a 36.8% recovery. Bitcoin continues its boom-and-bust price activity.

Source: Barchart
The long-term monthly chart highlights Bitcoin’s bullish pattern. If history repeats, the latest correction will lead to a higher high.
COIN has followed
Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) is a leading U.S. cryptocurrency platform that tracks Bitcoin prices.

Source: Barchart
The weekly chart shows that COIN shares reached a record high of $444.64 in July 2025 and fell 68.7% to a low of $139.36 in early February 2026. COIN recovered 56.8% to a high of $218.46 per share in May 2026. While COIN does not perfectly track Bitcoin, it tends to move higher and lower with Bitcoin, and trading activity increases when Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies rally.
The factors supporting higher prices
Factors supporting higher Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, and COIN prices include the following:
The boom-and-bust trading pattern over the past years suggests that substantial corrections lead to new record highs.
The U.S. administration has supported cryptocurrencies through the Genius Act.
Financial institutions have approved Bitcoin and other leading cryptocurrencies for their investment and trading customers.
A recovery in the asset class tends to attract buyers.
Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are global assets.
Blockchain technology has increased transaction speed and efficiency.
Caution is always required in the volatile asset class
Cryptocurrency opponents caution that:
The intrinsic values are questionable.
The volatility entails significant risks.
Governments can limit or ban cryptocurrency trading or ownership.
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