Why Silver Still Has Room to Run

Supply deficits, growing industrial demand, and long-term technical strength support the bullish case.

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šŸ•’ Market Overview: Silver has been highly volatile in 2026, and the odds favor continued wide price swings. Silver offers plenty of trading opportunities for bulls and bears alike.

šŸ“ˆ Sector Insight: 
šŸ‚ The January 15, 2027, $70-$80 vertical bull call spread at $2.00 has a 1:4 risk-reward ratio.
🐻 The January 15, 2027, $55-$46 vertical bear put spread at $3.00 has a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.

šŸ’” Today's Trade Idea: Bull Call & Bear Put Spread on SLV.


šŸ’” 1st SMART TRADE IDEA

Bull Call Spread on SLV

Trade Setup: Buy $65 Call / Sell $75 Call, January 15, 2027, expiration.

Cost: $2.50 ($250 per spread)

Max Profit: $7.50 ($750 per spread)
Breakeven: $67.50 on SLV on January 15, 2026
Risk-reward: 1:3

Management Plan: Take profits or roll up if SLV reaches $75 before January 15, 2027.

 


šŸ’” 2nd SMART TRADE IDEA

Bear Put Spread on SLV

Trade Setup: Buy $55 Put / Sell $46 Put, January 15, 2027, expiration.

Cost: $3.00 ($300 per spread)

Max Profit: $6.00 ($600 per spread)
Breakeven: $52 on SLV on January 15, 2026
Risk-reward: 1:2

Management Plan: Take profits or roll down if SLV reaches $46 before January 15, 2027.

 



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NOTE: Remember, options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Consider your investment objectives, financial resources, and experience level before implementing this or any options strategy.

DISCLOSURE: Trade recommendations may have changed since publication. Evaluate current market prices and risk/reward before acting. Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for everyone. This is not personalized investment advice. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Publisher and contributors may hold positions in recommended securities. Readers assume full responsibility for their trading decisions. Consult a financial professional before investing.

Andy Hecht | Smart Analysis

A Wall Street veteran and analyst covering technical and fundamental factors in markets across all asset classes for over four decades.

A Consolidating Market with Significant Upside Potential

Silver’s parabolic rally ended in late January 2026, when the price reached $121.785 per ounce, more than double the pre-2025 record high of $50.36 in 1980. Silver prices corrected to a low of $61.21 per ounce in late March 2026 and have been consolidating in a wide range

Silver has a long history as a volatile commodity. After reaching the 1980 high, the price dropped to under $4 per ounce in the 1990s. Since 2008, the price has not been below $8.40; since 2009, it has not been under $11.64; and since 2022, it has been above $17.40 per ounce. In 2024, the low was $21.975; in 2025, it was $27.545; and in 2026, the low was over $61.

At under $69 in June 2026, silver has room to move on both the upside and downside from a technical perspective. 

Technical levels in silver are closer to the first support level

Source: Barchart

The chart shows the wide $60.575 per ounce range for silver in 2026. The range is wider than the price at the pre-October 2025 high from 1980.

Technical support is at the March 2026 low of $61.29. Below there, the previous long-term technical resistance at the 1980 high of $50.36 is the critical technical support level.

While the ultimate technical resistance is at the late January 2026 record high of $121.785 per ounce, the May high of $90.105 and the March high of $97.30 are technical resistance levels.

At just above $67 per ounce on the nearby July COMEX futures contract, silver futures are much closer to the March low than the May high. 

Trading silver could be optimal in the current environment

Silver remains in a long-term bull market after eclipsing the 1980 high in October 2025. However, silver is a highly volatile metal, with historical monthly volatility around 49.80% compared with gold, which is below 27%.

Volatility creates a nightmare for passive investors, but it is a paradise for flexible traders with their fingers on the pulse of markets. Silver’s wide price swings create many trading opportunities in the current environment.

Silver’s bullish case

Silver’s bullish case includes:

  • Silver broke out above the critical long-term technical resistance level at the $50.36 high in October 2025. Long-term technical support is now at that 1980 high, which is over $25 below the current price.

  • According to the Silver Institute, silver remains in a supply-demand deficit for the sixth consecutive year. Although 2026 demand is forecast to decline by 2%, supply is falling faster, tightening the physical market.

  • Silver’s bull market has attracted growing speculative and investment demand, which could widen the deficit. The World Silver Survey projects that coin and bar purchases will increase by 18% in 2026.

  • Industrial demand for silver from solar panels, EVs, semiconductors, and AI infrastructure is increasing.

  • Gold has corrected from over $5,600 to around $4,225 per ounce. Analysts at leading financial institutions forecast a recovery in gold prices, with many projecting $6,000 per ounce in 2026. If gold recovers and reaches a new high, silver will likely follow higher. 

  • Silver recently made a higher low of $61.595 on June 11, compared to the March 2026 low of $61.21 per ounce. Silver was back at $67 on Friday, June 12.

Silver’s bearish case

On the other hand, silver’s bearish case includes:

  • Silver volatility and its price history suggest that price corrections can be substantial.

  • Silver declined more than 92% from the 1980 high to below $4 per ounce in the early 1990s.

  • Silver declined 76.6% from the 2011 high of $49.82 to the 2020 low of $11.64 per ounce.

  • Silver fell 42.7% from the early 2021 high of $30.35 to the 2022 low of $17.40 per ounce.

  • Silver traded within 38.5 cents of the March 23 low of $61.21 at the June 11 low.

  • Risk-off events could send silver prices substantially lower from $67 per ounce. 

SLV is the leading silver ETF- A bull and bear trade recommendation to position for tests of long-term support and the recent resistance levels in SLV

The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is the most liquid silver ETF that holds silver bullion. At nearly $61 per share, SLV had over $34.424 billion in assets under management. SLV trades an average of over 21.32 million shares per day and charges a 0.50% management fee.

Source: Barchart

With SLV around $61 per share, technical support is nearby at $51.27, the November 2025 high. Below there, the next level is close by at the December 2025 low of $51.13 per share. Technical resistance is at the May 2026 high of $80.86, the February 2026 high of $85.27, and the January 2026 record high of $109.83 per share.

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